New trend of gold & silver smuggling into China

September 5, 2016 at 12:40


There has been a sharp rise in seizures of gold and silver bars smuggled from mainland China. Customs officers detected more than two tonnes in the first eight months of the year in a move thought to be connected to the rising value of the precious metals. Officers seized about 2.2 tonnes of smuggled gold and silver worth more than HK$33 million this year, prompting Hong Kong and mainland authorities to strengthen inspections on both sides of the border, the Post was told. There were no seizures last year and in 2014. It is understood the new trend surfaced in the second quarter of this year. Nearly 10 cases involving the import of precious metals from the mainla...

Hedge funds slash bullish gold price

September 5, 2016 at 12:33


On Monday gold continued to build on its gains on Friday in response to a worse than expected US jobs report and a weaker dollar. In thin holiday trade, gold futures trading on the Comex market in New York for delivery in December, the most active contract, were exchanging hands at $1,330.60 an ounce, up more than $20 since the release of the payroll data. Gold has been on a downward path for more than a month, coming off a two-year high, but year to date the metal is still up 25% or $270 an ounce, one of its best annual performances since 1980. Large scale gold futures and options speculators or "managed money" investors such as hedge funds were wrong-footed by ...

Soros calls temp top in Gold?

August 17, 2016 at 10:08


The billionaire investor jumped back into trading this year with a big bet on the precious metal, buying up a 19-million share stake in the world’s largest gold producer, Barrick Gold But in the second quarter, Soros Fund Management sold the majority of his shares in the gold miner and his full stake in mining company Silver Wheaton, according to regulatory filings. The first-quarter bet on gold looked particularly prescient, as the precious metal has rallied 26% this year. The rise in gold’s price has given an even bigger boost to gold miners, with Barrick shares surging more than 190% this year. Now, Mr. Soros’ change of heart may cause concern for those still bullis...

RBC adds $200 to Gold forecast

August 17, 2016 at 08:56


Gold has been treading water above the $1,340 an ounce level recently, coming off two-year highs hit earlier in August. Year to date the metal has gained almost 26% or more than $280 an ounce. It's been gold best first half run since 1980 when the price hit an all-time high on an inflation adjust basis. The rally has surprised many analysts and at the start of the year the vast majority of investment and institutional analysts predicted gold would dip below $1,000 during the course of the year and average below last year's uninspiring $1,160 an ounce. Many gold bears have now changed course and some of the big bullion banks including UBS now sees $1,400 before the e...

Trump as President Means a $500 Jump in Gold Prices

August 10, 2016 at 08:00


Regardless of their political leanings, serious buyers of gold and investors in all precious metals understand these are very unusual times. This reality is driving a great deal of discussion, particularly in a post-Brexit world. Many respected analysts and pundits were proved wrong about the possibility of a successful leave vote coming out of the Brexit referendum. As a result, they are now particularly focused on trying to access the ultimate victor in the U.S. elections and what such an outcome will mean to financial markets generally, and gold specifically. Of course, from the perspective of a long-term investor in gold, it is difficult, yet essential, to separ...

Gold and Silver Dominate

August 8, 2016 at 10:48


It has been a golden year for precious-metal ETFs. This year’s top 10 nonleveraged ETFs by returns through July are focused on gold and silver, with all of them up at least 100% since the start of 2016. The funds take varying approaches, but they invest in mining companies. The top spot is held by PureFunds ISE Junior Silver (SILJ), which rose more than 250% through July. At the beginning of the year, it had assets under management of about $3.5 million, according to PureFunds Chief Executive Andrew Chanin, meaning the fund was costing more to run than it was generating in revenue. Its assets now exceed $91 million. “It’s been a wild year,” says Mr. Chanin. “Ther...

Monetary exhaustion means rising gold prices

August 8, 2016 at 10:43


Around mid-April, when the price of gold was still about US$1,290, I made a projection that gold had a bright, though bumpy future. Since then, gold price has climbed to US$1,365 before its recent pause. In fact, gold has barely started its climb and is likely to exceed US$1,400 by the year-end. Between fall 2011 and fall 2015, gold suffered its steepest losses since 1999, plunging from nearly US$1,880 to US$1,060. So a quarter ago, the conventional wisdom was that US rate hikes would ensure gold’s further decline. However, if that’s the case, why did gold prices soar during the first quarter? At the turn of 2015, gold’s plunge was still being driven by the broad...